Robert Higgs on the Consequences of Leviathan-sized Government

Senior Fellow Robert Higgs is interviewed here by Scott Horton on Antiwar.com Radio, warning those who long for total governmental and economic collapse to be careful what they wish for.  Higgs also explains why federal spending cannot continue at the current record levels without a failure of the bond market.  He further compares the military and economic over-extension of the Soviet Union prior to its collapse to the United States as a warning against rampant spending by the government.

[audio:2010_07_01_higgs_antiwar.mp3]
Download mp3 file of interview

Bush’s FEMA Was No Gem Either

Open Letter to The Wall Street Journal

June 23, 2010

Dear Editor:

Paul Rubin argues that President Obama is getting a free pass in the media in light of the environmental disaster caused by the BP oil spill.  The press, on the other hand, harshly chastised President Bush, for what Rubin thinks was a mildly successful government response (“A Tale of Two Disasters”, June 22).  As a former resident of New Orleans, I can attest that Dr. Rubin, however, is incorrect to claim “the federal response [to Katrina] was well coordinated and helpful overall”.

In the immediacy of Hurricane Katrina, approval procedures from Washington prevented or delayed the help of states, non-profits, and the international community.  The national coordinating system stymied the assistance of volunteer medical staff from throughout the country.  The Senate Homeland Security Committee concluded, “The federal department that was supposed to lead, direct and coordinate the federal response to Katrina was time and again late, uncertain and ineffective.”

Michael Brown, director of FEMA, promised buses, trailers and essential commodities for victims barricaded in the convention center, but waited two days before initiating action to deliver on those promises. Brown’s consequent resignation is a testament to his personal failure and that of his bureau, not simply a manner of spin in the press.

Most importantly, 1,800 people lost their lives in the tremendous flooding that occurred because of breeches in the levee system constructed by the federal government’s Army Corps of Engineers and many more suffered because of a federal response system that actively prevented aid from reaching those in need.

Were there failures of state and local government? Yes. Does media bias exist? Yes. Nevertheless, remembering the failures of FEMA allows us to learn from them.  As such, even more of a parallel can be drawn between the failures of the current administration’s disaster management and the federal response to Hurricane Katrina than Dr. Rubin suggests.

***

Emily C. Skarbek, Ph.D.
Director, Center on Entrepreneurial Innovation
The Independent Institute
Oakland, Calif.

“The Biggest Threat We Have to Our National Security Is Our Debt”

Says Admiral Mike Mullen, Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff.  Mullen notes that within two years the annual interest on the debt will be almost as much as the bloated annual Department of Defense Budget of $700 billion.  Well said.  Even better if Mullen would have pointed out that the debt is only a noticeable symptom of the real threat posed by the expanding size and scope of federal government.

Why not appease the far left (ending the war) while simultaneously enacting policy advocated by the far right (cutting federal expenditures and reducing the debt obligation)?  Ah, if only interest group politics operated the same way they do in my constrained day-dreams.

Can Markets Provide Police Services?

While Americans spend a lot of money on private security, we generally associate police services with a local government monopoly. And indeed, government is where the buck stops. One of the conventional rationales for government provision of police services is that the market will under-provide it. After all, if I subscribe to a protection agency that has to drive by my house, my neighbors presumably get some of the spillover benefits. The market will fail to provide the efficient level of police protection.

Of course, the existence of externalities has to be traded off against the change in incentives that comes with bringing protection services under the auspices of the government. Even if we accept the rationale, I’m not sure it applies anymore. People around our neighborhood have “Protected by [Whoever]” signs in their yards, and presumably properties can be “patrolled” remotely with cameras.

In an ongoing research project about the Memphis Riot of 1866, Christopher Coyne and I are discovering that the case for government provision of police services has never been very strong (here’s a very, very early version of what we’re doing; here’s Fred McChesney on fire services). As technology has changed, though, I’m coming to think more and more that “market failure” arguments for government provision of police services are incorrect.

Truth in Political Advertising

As election season approaches, we’re starting to see political ads by those running for office, often with vague, meaningless, or misleading slogans.  So, it’s nice to see an honest ad for a change.  Here’s the full text of a billboard I saw on a main thoroughfare:

State Representative
Michelle
Rehwinkel
Vasilinda
Fighting to Protect Public Employees
Political advertisement paid for and approved by Michelle Rehwinkel Vasilinda, Democrat for State Representative District 9

Rather than looking out for the interests of taxpayers, businesses, or even consumers of public services such as children who attend government schools, she’s fighting to protect public employees.

It’s not uncommon for critics of government to argue that government acts to further the interests of the political class, and those who work in the public sector, rather than working to further the general public interest.  It’s less common for elected officials (Michelle Rehwinkel Vasilinda is the incumbent in this election) to campaign on that kind of platform.  I give her high marks for honesty in saying that if re-elected she will work to further the interests of public employees rather than the people who pay the taxes to support those public employees.

If the U.S. Won’t Drill Oil Offshore, Other Nations Will

Although President Obama’s executive order imposing a six-month moratorium on drilling for crude oil and natural gas in ultra-deep waters within the 200-mile territorial limit recognized by international law has at least temporarily been suspended by a federal district judge, offshore drilling will not come to a screeching halt even if that precipitous action ultimately is determined to be within his constitutional powers.

As reported in the Wall Street Journal on Friday. July 2, Respol YPF SA, a Spanish company, has announced that next year it will begin drilling exploratory wells off the northern coast of Cuba, just 60 miles south of Key West. Industry experts as well as the U.S. Geological Survey seem confident that substantial deposits of crude oil and natural gas are there for the taking.

America’s oil companies cannot participate in exploiting those deposits because of our long-standing and counterproductive trade embargo against Cuba. (Can anyone identify a benefit flowing from that embargo offsetting the heavy costs imposed on me and other smokers of cigars? I doubt it.)

The point is that if the United States commits to bypassing offshore drilling at depths greater than 500 feet, we will be cutting off our collective nose to spite our collective face. Spain, China, Venezuela and other nations will continue to exploit potential reserves of fossil fuels, wherever they may be found. As a result, more of the world’s supply of crude oil and natural gas will fall into the hands of unfriendly nations.

In the event that Respol experiences a blowout of the same magnitude as the disaster that followed the explosion and sinking of the Deepwater Horizon on April 20, Washington will be even more impotent than it apparently now is, owing to the international dimensions of such an accident. Further ecological and economic damage to our homeland is predictable, given the Obama administration’s inept response to the current crisis and its evident diplomatic failures in dealing with Iran, Afghanistan, Pakistan and other flashpoints in the war on terror.

No cost-effective alternatives to fossil fuels loom on the horizon. As such, America either can develop its known domestic resources, both onshore and off, or continue down a path that leads to greater reliance on energy produced by others. That policy choice would be sensible if global trade were free and open, but is dangerous in a hostile world.

Michael Steele Gets It Right

The talking heads on both left and right (notably William Kristol) are dumping on Michael Steele for his recent comments on the Afghan War. He may well be forced out as RNC chair or, at the very least, compelled to apologize for his alleged “gaffe.” It would be a shame if Steele lost his job for this. Despite the clumsy nature of his wording, he was essentially right. The Afghan War was indeed of Obama’s "choosing." Obama supported it from the beginning and chose to escalate once in office. More to the point, Steele accurately described the current situation:

Well if he’s such a student of history, has he not understood that, you know, that’s the one thing you don’t do is engage in a land war in Afghanistan. Alright? Because everyone who has tried over a thousand years of history has failed. And there are reasons for that. There are other ways to engage in Afghanistan without committing more troops.

Disaster, Heartbreak, and Unavoidable Trade-offs

I received a message today from someone who questioned the position I had taken in a recent op-ed article on the Deepwater Horizon disaster in the Gulf of Mexico. Because I was unable to get a reply through to the person who wrote to me, and because others might have the same concern he raised, I am placing his question and my reply to him here.

He wrote:

The last paragraph of your most recent article puzzles me.  You say:  “The oil pollution in the Gulf is already hurting residents, workers and business owners and causing heartbreaking damage to marshlands, beaches and the wildlife that inhabits the area’s waters and wetlands. Let us hope the terrible situation will not be politically leveraged into measures that cause even greater damage to the national economy.”

So if I get this right, you are saying that heartbreaking damage is being caused, but “keep on drillin!”  But your concern is the national economy.  What happened to preventing the “heartbreaking damage?”

I replied as follows:

Virtually everything people do carries risks. Certainly every form of production does so. All manufacturing processes are risky — as a young man I worked in a factory where I saw a man’s hand ground to pulp when it was caught between two large gears of a machine. All farming activities are risky — as a young man I worked on a farm where a man was crushed to death by a tractor that lurched forward while he was underneath it doing repairs and another was killed when a tractor he was operating on the side of a ditch tipped over, throwing him off and crushing him beneath its weight. All transportation is risky — thousands die in traffic accidents each year in this country. All of these things are heartbreaking. Yet, for good reason, we do not imagine that we would be better off if we forbade manufacturing, agriculture, and transportation.

The Deepwater Horizon accident that continues to foul the Gulf’s waters and shores was an unlikely but extremely destructive event. The damage it is causing is heartbreaking. But forbidding oil drilling in the Gulf would also cause immense damage, not least to the lives and livelihoods of hundreds of thousands of people whose incomes are tied to that activity, not to mention all those who value the products made from the oil extracted from pools beneath the ocean floor. We can’t have all good things and no bad things. In life as it actually exists, we must choose and make trade-offs.

BP appears to have been negligent in its management of sinking the well, and almost everybody concerned with minimizing the environmental damage after the explosion has screwed up, more or less. The situation is tragic. Yet it is not one that anybody wanted. It is a terrible contingency in an unavoidably risky world. As I mentioned in my op-ed article, if this situation becomes fuel that feeds the creation of greater regime uncertainly by fostering political actions to alter a variety of regulatory rules and laws, then many damaging consequences will ensue, and they will harm people around the world. I hope that result will not occur.

Meanwhile, here where I live in southeast Louisiana, we have our hands full in dealing with the consequences of the current Gulf mess. Enough is enough. Shutting down a big part of our economy will only make a bad situation worse.

Of course, we should all learn from this tragedy. Oil companies probably need to adopt different, less risky procedures for sinking and operating wells in the deep waters of the Gulf. Federal, state, and local government officials need to prepare better to cooperate and to act expeditiously and intelligently when such events occur. (One way to do so might simply be to obey the law as laid down in the 1994 National Contingency Plan appended to the Oil Pollution Act in 1990, but evidently completely disregarded in the present emergency.) And the public needs to develop a keener appreciation of how opportunists of various stripes rush onto the scene of such disasters to exploit them for the attainment of their own longstanding objectives, not letting a “crisis go to waste.”

William Watkins on NPR’s Talk of the Nation Discussing Supreme Court Nominations

With the hearings on the nomination of Elena Kagan to the U.S. Supreme Court, Research Fellow William J. Watkins, Jr., was interviewed on NPR’s Talk of the Nation to discuss how to revise the nomination and selection process of Supreme Court Justices, based on his recent article in the Washington Examiner, “A role for the people in judicial selection.”

[audio:2010_06_29_npr.mp3]

Also, please see the following book by William J. Watkins, Jr.:

Reclaiming the American Revolution: The Kentucky and Virginia Resolutions and Their Legacy
By William J. Watkins, Jr.

Should We Subsidize Media?

There has been much hand-wringing over the decline of traditional media. Katherine Mangu-Ward consoles those who fear a post-paper media environment and offers some helpful suggestions; in The Freeman Online, Ed Lopez asks whether the decline of newspapers is a market failure and explains why it isn’t. He shows that this is a case where a little bit of economics can actually be dangerous: there is a potentially plausible case to be made that news is a public good (non-rival and non-excludable), but as an argument for journalism subsidies this proves too much. As Ed argues, the decline of the dead-tree media is creative destruction, not market failure.

Rather than rehash his argument I want to press his public good discussion a bit further. First, it’s not clear that Media 2.0 is producing less news. It’s just taking new forms, from extreme examples like cell phone videos of cops behaving badly to more routine things like live-blogged City Council meetings. The idea that news is a public good assumes that those doing the reporting are getting their facts straight and interpreting those facts correctly. If a news outlet is reinforcing economic illiteracy (which is also non-rival and non-excludable), then it is producing a public bad.

Consider a case in point. A few weeks ago, the New York Times reported on teenage unemployment but failed to mention the 41% increase in the minimum wage that probably explains it. Fortunately, the econ blogosphere’s leading Man of Letters, Don Boudreaux, was there with another excellent letter to the editor of the Times, which is on Cafe Hayek for the world to see even if the editor chooses not to print it.

I wrote a very short blog post about it and linked it on Facebook with the question “Is there anyone at the New York Times who knows how to Google ‘teenage unemployment’?” The amount of information on the issue is overwhelming, and there are a lot of professional economists who are writing about this. Mark J. Perry is but one example: to my shame, I only recently started following his blog, but I learn much more from his discussions of the data than I do from most news reports.

And here’s where the economics of it all get interesting. First, the subsidies people are calling for are already there. Professor Perry is a professor at the University of Michigan-Flint, which means that taxpayers are probably footing at least part of the bill for his analysis. Second, I find that blogging and writing op-eds are useful inputs into my teaching and scholarship. By reading Ed’s article and by writing this post, I’ve thought harder about public goods and public bads than I otherwise would have this morning. It’s a problem that’s directly relevant to some of my research projects, and I’m looking for ways to revamp my introductory econ notes on market failure and government failure.

It’s also not at all clear that a smaller relative flow of information about politicians and what they’re up to is a bad thing. A healthy civilization is one in which voluntary and commercial relationships between people are maximized while coercive and political relationships between them are minimized. I learned yesterday that Lady Gaga has more Facebook fans than Barack Obama. This is a good thing. Lady Gaga creates wealth. At the very best, Barack Obama–like all of his predecessors before him–redistributes it.

The movement to increase subsidies to traditional media is a movement to fix a problem that markets and liberty are already solving. In a best-case scenario, media subsidies are superfluous. In a worst-case scenario, since he who pays the piper calls the tune, media subsidies are dangerous.

  • Catalyst
  • Beyond Homeless
  • MyGovCost.org
  • FDAReview.org
  • OnPower.org
  • elindependent.org